Statistical Models in Counterterrorism: Game Theory, by Alyson Wilson, Gregory Wilson, David H. Olwell

By Alyson Wilson, Gregory Wilson, David H. Olwell

The entire info used to be available in the market to warn us of this forthcoming assault, why did not we see it?" This used to be a regularly requested query within the weeks and months after the terrorist assaults at the international exchange middle and the Pentagon on September eleven, 2001. within the wake of the assaults, statisticians hurried to develop into a part of the nationwide reaction to the worldwide struggle on terror. This e-book is an summary of the rising examine application on the intersection of nationwide protection and statistical sciences. a variety of gifted researchers tackle matters in- Syndromic Surveillance - How can we discover and realize bioterrorist events?- Modeling and Simulation - How will we larger comprehend and clarify complicated methods in order that choice makers can take the easiest process action?- Biometric Authentication - How will we decide the terrorist out of the gang of faces or higher fit the passport to the traveler?- online game thought - How can we comprehend the foundations that terrorists are taking part in by?This ebook contains technical remedies of statistical concerns that would be of use to quantitative researchers in addition to extra basic examinations of quantitative techniques to counterterrorism that may be available to choice makers with greater coverage backgrounds.Dr. Alyson G. Wilson is a statistician and the technical lead for DoD courses within the Statistical Sciences team at Los Alamos nationwide Laboratory. Dr. Gregory D. Wilson is a rhetorician and ethnographer within the Statistical Sciences staff at Los Alamos nationwide Laboratory. Dr. David H. Olwell is chair of the dep. of platforms Engineering on the Naval Postgraduate institution in Monterey, California.

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Berkovitz, L. , and M. Dresher. 1960. ” Operations Research 8:694–706. Bier, V. M. 1997. ” In Fundamentals of risk analysis and risk management, edited by V. Molak, 1–18. Boca Raton, FL: Lewis Publishers. Bier, V. M. 2005. ” In Modern statistical and mathematical methods in reliability, edited by A. Wilson, N. Liminios, S. Keller-McNulty, and Y. Armijo, Volume 10 of Series on Quality, Reliability, and Engineering Statistics, 17–38. Singapore: World Scientific Publishers. Bier, V. , and V. Abhichandani.

Journal of Infrastructure Systems 6 (3): 114–117. [EFW00b] Ezell, B. , J. V. Farr, and I. Wiese. 2000. ” Journal of Infrastructure Systems 6 (3): 118–122. [EHL01] Ezell, B. , Y. Y. Haimes, and J. H. Lambert. 2001. ” Military Operations Research 6 (2): 23–33. [Fec1860] Fechner, G. T. 1860. Elemente der Psychophysik. Leipzig: Breitkopf und Haertel. [FL02] Frey, B. , and S. Luechinger. 2002. ” Working paper 136, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, University of Zurich. [FL03] Frey, B.

With respect to applications of game theory and related methods to security in general, there is a large body of work already, much of it by economists [BR00, FL02, FL03, AS01, SA03, ES04, SE04, KZ03, LZ05]. , to inform policy-level decisions such as public versus private funding of defensive investments [LZ05], or the relative merits of deterrence and other protective measures [FL02, FL03, KZ03, SE04]. Of course, the events of September 11 have resulted in greater interest in this type of work.

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